Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.
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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of SLtoos centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

  • Syed Azfar Ali Jalali ACSG8
    Syed Azfar Ali Jalali ACSG8

    Just saying, I am not a dream stan, but I AM good at math. And they released a statement that the chance of getting dream's runs was 10 billion to 1? 100 billion to 1? 1000 billion to 1? Point is, there is a chance of dreams runs to be true. That he didn't need to manipulate rng and that his luck was good. If the statement and said impossible then, well, I am with you, dream cheated. But the statement gave numbers that were near impossible, improbable, because they still had a chance to be true. I think dream hit the luck jackpot and is telling the truth.

  • Benjamin Jakubec
    Benjamin Jakubec

    Hey Matt , Id like to ask , when enderman are people or ancient builders , how did they got to End when ender pearls drop from Enderman? ._.

  • シJusDibzュ ス デ ィ ブ ズ
    シJusDibzュ ス デ ィ ブ ズ

    Me : explains simple math My family;

  • Ella Cavanagh
    Ella Cavanagh

    Well what are the chances of finding a stronghold RANDOMLY ( finding it by chance or without eye of ender ) im guessing very slim yet it happened to me tis luck

  • Flowey The flower
    Flowey The flower

    Me: about to beat the speed run by 00000000000.1 seconds

  • ariel hernandez
    ariel hernandez

    who was the first person to ever make a netherite beacon

  • Nguyen Bui Ha Linh
    Nguyen Bui Ha Linh

    deam is mrbeast

  • Dean Fawcett
    Dean Fawcett

    He does not

  • SCP Productions
    SCP Productions

    1.16 : so different some people don't accept it 1.17 : *uhhhhh*

  • glitch gamer
    glitch gamer

    When does the video start? Over 5min mark haven't started the video yet where is minecraft speedrun. Haven't dissapointed more in any of ur video almost never dissapointed but this one oh yeah wasted my time.

  • ken dow
    ken dow

    the joker has aids

  • ken dow
    ken dow

    gooba gabba

  • Holly Carr
    Holly Carr

    Mr beast was In the background at the store

  • Michael Langston
    Michael Langston

    0:14 why does mr beast have so much stuff???

  • dandad

    spoiler alert: dream cheated

  • Martha Cima
    Martha Cima


  • Kartoony_KobiYT


  • Martha Cima
    Martha Cima

    i dont get it

  • Victoria And Joseph
    Victoria And Joseph

    I Had More Cringe

  • Brandon Gee
    Brandon Gee

    It was fake

  • madhvi goyal
    madhvi goyal

    "Did dream cheat his speedrun?" That only dream fan : *clicks out of video*

  • The Aisha Biscuit
    The Aisha Biscuit

    Before Reveal: 10 = 7 heads Answer Reveal: IM CORECT!!! :D

  • Tiger Arora
    Tiger Arora

    We: did dream cheat? MatPat: Well yes, but actually no

  • Tashi Yuen
    Tashi Yuen


  • Player 1
    Player 1

    I saw someone beat minecraft in 4:24 minutes

  • Aafiya arissa
    Aafiya arissa

    Me: being that one 8 year old kid bad at math but likes game theory lol

  • GINGY_zamination Yt
    GINGY_zamination Yt

    Flip 10 and get 7+heads

  • Kobe is Children
    Kobe is Children

    although there are 10-37 major factors involved, it seems that "the thing that makes minecraft 1.16 speedruns 5 minutes faster than previous versions is the piglin trading, it's basically a slot machine". so if one were to cheat at this game, do you think they would change those rates? and change the rates of "one of the biggest bottlenecks in any minecraft speedrun"?

    • Kobe is Children
      Kobe is Children

      and don't you think that Kobe is children? cause he is

  • Kenrick John Marquez
    Kenrick John Marquez

    NEW THEORY FOR MINECRAFT What is bedrock made of

  • SK_WantsToGameEnd

    YT theory: Matpat inetially had an awnser, but the awnser was that Dream did cheat. However, since Dream has already collabed on Game Theory, Matpat didn't want to ruin his future chances with Dream's clout (attacking someone on the internet who has more clout then you is a death sentance). But since he didn't want to throw away hours of research, he made a video that never gave a diffinitive awnser.

  • Pranav J pillai
    Pranav J pillai

    But with the stupid barter,I barted with more than 280 gold,u know how much I got? 5 pearls,5 PEARLS, if u are thinking how I got that much, I had a Mesa near my village

  • Pranav J pillai
    Pranav J pillai

    I have got more than that much blaze rods so does that mean I cheated? No it's just luck And looting 😂

    • Benedict Masengi
      Benedict Masengi

      He doesn't get the drops once and thats it after hours of clips his luck is much higher than anyone

  • Mateus Fernandes
    Mateus Fernandes

    Stand-up maths did a video that actually answers the question... 🙏🏽

  • The man with Panda eyes
    The man with Panda eyes

    This is worst then mrbossftw’s video’s

  • Ruby _Gem
    Ruby _Gem

    When he was talking about flipping coins I did not get any of that lol

  • susan alvarenga
    susan alvarenga

    8:32 my aswer is (a)

  • Marco Rivera
    Marco Rivera

    idk that questiopn

  • KOJONES123 4
    KOJONES123 4

    Why tf do people even care he’s not even first he’s sixth , people only care because it’s dream

    • Benedict Masengi
      Benedict Masengi

      It's because he faked a speedrun

    • morbideddie

      Exactly, any other runner and their run would have just been quietly removed and they would have been suspended from posting. Because it’s dream we have to keep talking about it because he won’t let it go and his stans don’t understand maths.

  • Ian Owens
    Ian Owens

    im gonna tell my math teacher to find out if he was cheating

  • Ian Owens
    Ian Owens

    "when they bust out latex, you know its serious" thats what she said im sorry i had to

  • SilencedLamb_ _
    SilencedLamb_ _

    I want to matt to be my mentor like om not joking

  • Black and yellow
    Black and yellow

    10 and getting heads 7 times

  • DIO Brando
    DIO Brando

    Dream Speedrunner *exists* The Game Theorists: Dream the Game *Exists*

  • Ruben Quack
    Ruben Quack

    Here's an actual answer to this question by Matt Parker from StandUp Maths: Bonus: it doesn't have the ridiculous bragging about understanding a bunch of math that he clearly doesn't understand at all.

  • Chimbi Choombi
    Chimbi Choombi

    How can some people in this comment section be so ignorant as still think that dream definitively cheated. Matpat’s argument is that the chance of Dream’s drop rates is subjective, which is clearly evident by the different methodologies of the “Particle Physicist” and the mod team. The definitive answer to whether he cheated or not is obtainable only in a perfect world. The best solution would be to support the number of factors (why is it 10 vs 37?), and then to select data from every single recorded instance of Dream’s speed running attempts. Both sides did none of this, and both were biased, and used “true” but misleading statistics. Statistics may be right on a graph, but when applied to a topic, are misleading. For example, “4/5 dentists recommend Colgate”. It may be true, but perhaps those same 5 dentists all recommended Sensodyne. The original statement isn’t false, but it is misleading you to buy the less recommended brand, when obviously Sensodyne was recommended more. Conclusion: Statistics are often biased and used to lie to people, and Pat’s video is saying the ways you can come to a conclusion (and also how both sides did) is not truly representing the entire picture.

  • animesh rawat
    animesh rawat

    matpat is like you when you're asked "would you save your mom or dad?"

  • Gaetan Siffert
    Gaetan Siffert

    2:11 oh god no not latex

  • Alexander Wiseman
    Alexander Wiseman

    This was decidedly a YES to anyone who really understood the data, but a "...maybe no??" to Dream stans. I understand, PatPat, but if you ain't finna answer the question yourself, you shouldn't finna ask the question in your title. Title it something like "An in depth analysis on the Dream situation" or something.

  • Viktor Milojevic
    Viktor Milojevic

    If he is better than you in minecraft it doesn't mean you should make fake videos about him

  • Arianna Oros
    Arianna Oros

    Little did future Matpat know was that the argument continued more on the down low

  • Mel Marmoria
    Mel Marmoria

    this video is so infuriating to watch for so many reasons - too many unnecessary tangents - no real conclusion/answer to the actual title question, hence just pure clickbait - flexing that you share some business with LE DREAM, i guess he is somebody to gloat about - this was basically the longest loudest loading screen for an (skillshare) ad - claiming this video is supposed to be educating about the maths, in the end only explaining the theory of it in a very weird and hard to understand way - the finishing verdict. "minecraft 1.16+ shouldnt be getting speedruns anymore cause too high dependence on luck :c"

  • SleekJupiter

    This is last year's drama mat

  • noname

    60 is harder than 7 :)

  • Honshu :]
    Honshu :]

    I think we all forget what kind of channel Matpat has, he is a Theorist. Yes, he is a good theorist but everybody isn’t always right. Maybe he did cheat, maybe he did not. Your all in the comments talking about how he dodged the question but really he’s literally just doing what he normally does. Yet you don’t say this when he makes different themes such as FNAF and other DDLC? Yet nobody from these games have stood up to things such as this? Why say all of this now because it’s a SLtoosr and not a game of which you can’t say to somebody’s face? Yes, it is basically click bait but what isn’t? My god people it’s 2021, click bait is everywhere right under your noses! Not even just on youtube and even I think you know that. Go ahead, comment down how wrong I am but you can’t deny that this is suspicious and seems acted. Yeah, he might be right but he isn’t a mind reader, the only person who knows whether they cheated or not is Dream. I wonder why it’s always the SLtoosr’s fault and not the game/game developers? 1.16 just came out when this event took place so their is bound to be bugs. But that still doesn’t mean Dream is off the hook and neither is MatPat. But remember, at the end of the day it’s just a theory everybody. :) (Please debate about this in the comments, I wanna see all of opinions on this :D)

  • Oda Siam
    Oda Siam

    This channel helped me learn more than my class lol

  • Zack Pumpkinhead
    Zack Pumpkinhead

    8:36 THEY"RE BOTH THE SAME! HA! Sorry so many comments. I'll do less next time

  • Zack Pumpkinhead
    Zack Pumpkinhead

    1:46 Warzone... huh? Have you heard of... 2b2t?

  • Matthew Hogan
    Matthew Hogan


  • Livie Noelle
    Livie Noelle

    conclusion: the speedrunning team is jealous

    • morbideddie

      Yes Stanley, they were jealous of his 14th place run.

    • Hayden Y
      Hayden Y


  • kat h
    kat h

    Pls he would be such a cool and good teacher

    • Hayden Y
      Hayden Y


  • Glad Bros Entertainment
    Glad Bros Entertainment

    7 times

  • Dr. Rocker
    Dr. Rocker

    Matpat is such a wuss the only reason he won’t say he is cheating is because he is scared to lose his kid subscribers but don’t you see Matpat your subscribers have now grown up dot. Be afraid to say he cheated

  • Rainbow Pummmkins
    Rainbow Pummmkins

    Mat pls tell me pls!

  • James7

    I can smell the dream stan dislike this video.

  • RaisinTree

    hope you all have a nice week, wanted to let you know that Jesus loves you and died for you. you might think of this as annoying and you’ve seen it a lot, but it’s more than that. those who share this are happy with Christ and believe in eternal life and happiness. they want you to be a part of that too, and so do i. you can have your own opinion and i respect it and you can ignore this and that’s fine. stay safe. i believe in you. in whatever you want to do. God has not left you, and never will. again, Jesus Christ loves you so much. He is willing to heal you and anyone else no matter what they’ve done. He has died for us and proved that He is the Christ, Savior, and Protector. God heals us, even though we are wicked. think about that. may we not be ashamed to share His word, for He was not ashamed of us.

    • Brandon Morehouse
      Brandon Morehouse

      I would like to say the youtube comments are not the beat place for this kind of a statement

  • Dragon Fire
    Dragon Fire

    Ppl are knocking matpat for not really answering, but he did give a more complex view of both arguments, and I don’t think that’s nothing.

  • a channel
    a channel

    my view I don't think he cheated he clearly got a higher drop rate then normal but odds are just odds. The drop rate for endermen dropping ender pearls is around 50% of course that doesn't mean you're going to consistently drop 5 ender pearls for every 10 endermen its possible to kill 1000 endermen and them drop no enderpearl just its very very unlikely I dont know the probability percentage i imagine its extremely low but still not impossible.

  • bestofyosuke

    When he started talking about the luck of the item drops, I just thought "so no one here has played a gacha game then" because the luck I've seen some people have by accident is ridiculous, versus some people who whale on them and don't get nearly as lucky (hence the whaling)

  • JamFoxxy

    Mans pulled a Ranboo and didn't choose sides

  • FreesmartBros2007

    2:21 relatable ;-;

  • AncientAmber YT
    AncientAmber YT

    Ah yes, clickbait

    • Brandon Morehouse
      Brandon Morehouse

      Well yes but actually no

  • K'Sean Richardson
    K'Sean Richardson

    I thought condoms when u said latex, but i noticed the quadratic formula short after 😂. What am i?

  • DONT wamt
    DONT wamt

    So everyone's hating matpat here because he doesnt know something? Makes sense

  • Out by the Water in Cape May
    Out by the Water in Cape May

    So... He did? Because any Dream stans that disagree better bend over.

  • •peachs bunzs ôwø•
    •peachs bunzs ôwø•

    help me with me math pls

  • ENO

    İmagine dream commenting

  • Ariel Flores
    Ariel Flores

    I think 100 times

  • Zain Huda
    Zain Huda

    The real problem is that profesional mathmeticians and scientists can spend hours of time just to debunk a minecraft speedrun... Do they really not have anything better to do with their life??

  • Dream the animator
    Dream the animator


  • chrichu

    Some people took this video the wrong way bc there are quite a lot of dislikes


    Its funny bc they're talking about high luck but there was a game my dad played and literally got a 0.01% chance weapon 5 time in a row (DFFOO)

  • Jamie Brophy
    Jamie Brophy


  • raystrashcan

    Sir, I seem to be missing an answer in this video

  • Juliet Torres
    Juliet Torres

    Coin ten times

  • lars thememelord
    lars thememelord

    for anyone who’s angry about lack of an answer it says FINAL ANALYISIS NOT FINAL ANSWER

  • Vanja Nenadović
    Vanja Nenadović

    Yeah, you can say that it's 69.2 percent, but if people didn't watch other people's videos, that is 8.8 x 10 to the power of MINUS 12. That is(near) one in a 8800000000000 chance of getting JUST the blaze rods. Including ender pearls, which are (again near) one in 5600000000000 chance, then yeah. And both of them together, are (near) 1 in 2000000000000000000000 chance of getting them.

  • Galand Commandment Of Truth
    Galand Commandment Of Truth


  • MegaMathew75


  • ailey

    I wish matpat was my math teacher

  • Djd250

    is p hacking hacking wile ur peeing?

  • W Aliff Naufal W M Syuhaidi
    W Aliff Naufal W M Syuhaidi

    Ohh well did you know in one of dreams speedrun when he placed the boats in mid air actually there were barriers and there were barriers in the other speedrun when he placed boats in the lava there were barriers because how can he place things in mid air I tried it to and do all his hacks and a failure so he’s fake speedrunning

    • Brandon Morehouse
      Brandon Morehouse

      That makes no sense, and i agree with your final statement. Your explanation just doesn’t work


    did dream fake it? heres the time 23:29

  • Anicka Amaefule
    Anicka Amaefule

    Wait, did dream cheat or not?

  • Anicka Amaefule
    Anicka Amaefule

    I guess the 100 thingy option because if you take away the one zero each from sixty and hundred you can see that that's right. Yes I'm THIS bad at explaining I watched the video and I think I were wrong. I didn't really understand sooo. Have a great life

  • Levi Crosby
    Levi Crosby

    I have no idea what Matpat says every video I watch but that has yet to stop me from watching them

  • Benny Windipo
    Benny Windipo

    Matpat has really gone downhill.....

  • Meba

    Man this is hella annoying. Just say he's wrong or shill for him goddamit

  • The lord
    The lord

    Anybody else noticed mr.beast😂

  • Eldudio 14
    Eldudio 14

    You can tell mat came to the conclusion he cheated but didn’t wanna say it cuz of the stans

  • • Møno •
    • Møno •

    The answer is... Nothing hahahaha